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Frans Minnaar. Analyst.



The ANC's Priorities: My Response
The ANC's lekgotla, held over the weekend, outlined specific tasks in the six priority areas identified by the ANC’s NGC:
• Firstly, to fix local government and improve basic services
• Secondly, to speed up economic transformation and to engender inclusive growth and job creation
• Thirdly, to wage war on crime and corruption and tackle GBVF as a National Disaster
• Fourthly, to build a South Africa that belongs to all through the National Dialogue...

Frans Minnaar
4 hours ago2 min read


Is the Army in Ideological Resistance?
I don’t think a coup d’état is imminent in South Africa (but I may be wrong, who knows). However, something is cooking, boiling just below the surface.
I do think that there is open revolt against civilian oversight in the military forces of the country. I also think the drivers of this revolt are ideology and the sense of a lost victory.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 227 min read


Maduro, the US and International Law
So, the US has breached international law by kidnapping Maduro. But who cares? Let me tell you, not the ANC. The ANC’s standard is their Cold War loyalties. Anyway, who actually cares about “international law” anymore? What matters, is ideology, not law.
Just considers the hypocritical South African government. It condemns the United States government for capturing Maduro, but is silent about Russia’s invasion of a sovereign state. How many people has dies during the US’s a

Frans Minnaar
Jan 93 min read


The Class of '94
The ANC leadership, the generation of the 1994 transition, did not have an opportunity to grow into the responsibilities of governing a rather sophisticated and modern country, the richest and most powerful in Africa. It happened overnight. Their lives were transformed from oppression and struggle, from powerlessness, to total power. Poverty was replaced by overpowering richness. And all this happened overnight, in the scope of less than four years.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 87 min read


The United States National Security Strategy & Global Power Relations
The US National Security Strategy, published in November 2025, set out its geopolitical aims and strategies. It is in line with Trump’s expressed worldviews, made clear on numerous occasions during the last decade of his presence in United States politics. Under his leadership, the United States will act accordingly, regardless of whether he and his administration is blamed of breaking international law, or regardless of how reprehensible many may find it.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 515 min read
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